High: 30 Winds: N 5-15 mph
Tonight: Snow Continues Through the Evening. Tapering Off Either Side of Midnight. Temperatures Fall into Teens By Morning.
Low: 14 Winds: NNW 5-15 ...
Get behind the scenes access with Meteorologist Jeff Booth. He'll give you the inside scoop on the weather that affects the Miami Valley!
Click here to send your comments to Jeff about "Inside the Booth".
Anatomy of Our Winter Storm
By now I'm sure you've heard that a snow storm is on the way. As I type this all of the Miami Valley EXCEPT Mercer & Auglaize counties is under a Winter Storm Warning. Mercer & Auglaize are under a Winter Weather Advisory. A strong cold front sits draped across the Eastern United States right now.
Ample moisture will travel along that front and interact w/ air that's MUCH cooler than it's been over the past few days (Thursday's high was 62 @ 2:57 A.M.).
Heavy snow will develop as that cold air interacts w/ the aforementioned moisture. Right now it looks like the heaviest snow will fall from about 10:00 A.M. until 5:00 P.M. on Friday. Snowfall rates could reach about 1" an hour during that time frame. My latest forecast calls for the heaviest snow potential in the heart of the Miami Valley.
Areas in the far SE along and around I-71 (Wilmington, Blanchester, Waynesville, Mason, Lebanon, etc.) may only have 2-4" in the forecast but they also have the potential to pick up around a quarter to a half inch of ice. Whenever we throw snow on top of ice we always have problems so even if you're in the SE and it looks like you won't see as much the roads have the potential to be a lot more dangerous.
This has been a tough storm to forecast; the computer forecast models aren't in exact agreement as to the handling of this system. Further complicating things is the fact that the rain/snow line is so close to us that just one little wobble in the transition zone can result in more (less) glazing which would lead to less (more) snow. But I've made my forecast and now I've got to live w/ it. Observational data is suggesting that things should fall in line so I can go to bed knowing I've done all I can do. What a way to come back from vacation.
I know on Wednesday night I claimed I wouldn't blog on Thanksgiving - yet here we are.
I just wanted to take a moment to tell you how happy I am that I'm almost done w/ my homework for the month. No, I'm not in school but as an adult I think of my chores as homework; stuff I don't want to do but know I have to anyway.
There are some tasks that seem to emerge out of nowhere. These are like pop quizzes of adult life. They come w/out warning, are a pain in the rear but usually get taken care of pretty quickly - hopefully you're prepared.
About once or twice a year I'll take on a home improvement project. These are like the big reports, science fair projects or 10-page papers that I'd encounter when I was an academic. I didn't like to do them but once I finally got started I'd plow through it so I could relax.
And then I have the recurring errands that I complete on a monthly basis. I equate these to the day-to-day homework I used to get. This is almost like the "busy work" I hate doing and not surprisingly I put off as long as I can.
This month I had a few things to finish: get the tub fixed (see previous blog), balance my checkbook, pay my bills and go through open enrollment. The last three chores are ones I've been dreading.
Tonight I'm happy to say I'm almost done. The bathroom leak was taken care of on Monday, I got the checkbook balanced on Wednesday, enrolled in my company's insurance plan on Thanksgiving which means paying bills is all I have left to do. That shouldn't take too long and I might even knock that out when I get home from work tonight. Seeing that I'm taking Friday off it doesn't sound like a bad idea.
Either way I'm almost there and then I get to experience one of the greatest feelings in the world: the sense of accomplishment. Until next month that is.
For What Are You Thankful?
Thanksgiving is almost here and I'll be working on the holiday but I plan on taking a break from my writing job - if that's what you can call this. As a result I'm going to use Wednesday night as the time to talk about that for which I am thankful.
I'm thankful for my wife and my beautiful kids along w/ my extended family. I'm thankful that I have a roof over my head, food in the pantry and a job I love. But most of all I think I'm thankful for the countless blessings - both big and small - that the good Lord has bestowed on me and the rest of the world.
The other night I was watching a story on the news and it got me thinking how lucky I am and how I need to learn to appreciate what I have. That story I watched dealt with some of the littlest angels who were about to see their lives cut short b/c of some horrible illness that they were unlucky enough to get. I watched it, shed a tear and couldn't help but feel guilty. There have been times in the past when I was upset w/ this, that or the other and I've lost sight of what makes a life truly blessed: one's health and love - both love that I give out and love that comes back to me.
When I see some of the horrible things out there and then look @ my three wonderful kids, my beautiful wife and a healthy prognosis the material things and petty annoyances that get in the way of day-to-day life don't really seem that bad. Instead of focusing on the bad I should learn to accept those setbacks and realize they help me appreciate the good times that much more.
I hope your Thanksgiving is a happy one and I hope you have a blessed year to come.
It's Thanksgiving week which means that you should start seeing more and more stories detailing how various politicians are "pardoning" turkeys in their localities. It's a cute way to ring in the holiday but I can't help but be a little cynical about it.
One thing I wonder is whether or not that pardon lasts for just one year or if it's a lifetime absolution. If it's just a year then what's the point? That turkey just has some extra time to fatten up; which may not be a bad thing. But if that turkey is safe for the rest of it's life then who shelters the burden of caring for it? I certainly hope the taxpayer isn't on the hook for years b/c of what was originally nothing more than a glorified photo op. While I'm sure it's not expensive to pay for this I can't help but point out that in these times of shrinking budgets every dollar saved is one that doesn't go towards growing the deficit.
But what has me more worried is the prospect of a truly foul fowl walking free. We have no way of looking into any bird's past much less one who's receiving a pardon from an elected representative. Who's to say the turkey getting a reprieve wasn't a really a bad animal? That bird could have done some truly shady stuff over it's lifetime. By issuing a pardon all we're doing is giving a veritable "thumbs up" to its prior transgressions. Maybe eating it would be a boon to both man and turkeykind.
Now I'm not trying to imply that all gobblers misbehave - I don't believe that. In fact I'd go as far as to say that most of them are decent, honest hard-working birds just trying to make their way in the world. But w/ the sheer number of turkeys being pardoned this time every year @ least one or two of them are bound to fall through the cracks. That's what worries me.
And just imagine what could happen if a bunch of these "free birds" all ended up on the same farm together after getting their walking papers. These evil beasts may just end up destroying each other but if they were able to get past their differences and unite on the common ground of seizing power the consequences could reverberate around the planet. I can already see a gang of marauding turkeys Raising Cain in the heartland before turning their sights to the cities and eventually testing the waters of global conquest. If you're having trouble getting there trust me... it's not a pretty sight.
So while I do have, obviously well-founded, concerns I guess this is just a case where I'll have to trust my leaders. I just hope they're good judges of character - not only for my sake but for the sake of the world. Bon appetit!
Messy Travel Possible This Week
As we prepare for this shortened workweek we're staring @ some cold weather heading into the Thanksgiving holiday. We're also looking @ a strong storm system that's expected to strengthen as it heads east. The good news is that we're not going to bear the brunt of it. The bad news is that a lot of people are going to be traveling and depending on the direction you're headed you may encounter some issues.
Light snow Monday night will lead to some more snow Tuesday afternoon. While we won't see a lot of it - some of us won't even get an inch - we'll see enough that slick spots could be an issue Tuesday morning. By Tuesday afternoon a system will be passing by to the SE of us and some of our eastern counties will have the threat for more light snow. Generally, areas west of I-75 will see around a half inch through the entire event. Areas along and east of I-75 will see an inch or so while the far eastern portions of the Miami Valley could get up to 2+ inches through Tuesday.